Battle of the Portfolios: The Old Guard vs. The New School
For decades, the investment playbook was simple. Your grandpa, your dad, your boring uncle—they all sang the same tune, a little ditty written by the patron saint of safe investing, Jack Bogle. It was called the 60/40 portfolio.
The rules were easy: 60% of your money in stocks (for growth), and 40% in bonds (for safety). It was the sensible shoes of investing. The beige Toyota Camry. The missionary position.
But then, something broke. The "safe" part of the portfolio—the bonds—stopped being safe. Interest rates went crazy, and suddenly, the bedrock of retirement planning started to look like quicksand.
Enter the Modern Mix, a new challenger with a taste for danger and a thirst for high yields.
So, which one is right for you? Let's throw them in the ring and see who comes out on top.
In This Corner: The Boglehead (aka "The Old Guard")
- The Strategy: 40% in a Total US Stock fund (VTI) and 60% in a Total US Bond fund (BND).
- The Philosophy: Slow and steady wins the race. Keep costs low, diversify everything, and don't do anything stupid. It's the investment equivalent of eating your vegetables.
- The Vibe: Sensible, reliable, and maybe a little... boring.
And in This Corner: The Modern Mix (aka "The New School")
- The Strategy: 40% Stocks (VTI), 30% Gold (GLD), and 30% in a mysterious, high-yield beast called STRC.
- The Philosophy: "Bonds are dead. We need something with more juice." This portfolio hedges against inflation with gold and chases high income with a complex preferred stock.
- The Vibe: Flashy, risky, and potentially very rewarding. It's the sports car with a questionable maintenance record.
Tale of the Tape: The 10-Year Throwdown
So, how did they do? In a simulated 10-year cage match (2015-2025), the results were... stark.
- The Boglehead: Turned 1,970**. A respectable 7% annual return.
- The Modern Mix: Turned 2,913**. An 11.25% annual return. That's nearly 50% more money!
So, the Modern Mix is the clear winner, right? Pack it up, we're all going home rich.
Not so fast. We need to talk about STRC.
The Secret Weapon: What the Heck is STRC?
STRC is the "secret sauce" of the Modern Mix. It's a special type of stock from a company called Strategy Inc. that pays a massive dividend (recently 10.5%!).
The company claims it's super safe because it's backed by a mountain of Bitcoin. They say the price of Bitcoin would have to crash by over 80% before your initial investment is in danger.
The Catch?
- It's a Jenga Tower: STRC is rated as "junk" by S&P. The company doesn't have much cash and pays its juicy dividends by constantly selling new stock. The whole thing is propped up by the price of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin catches a cold, STRC could get pneumonia.
- Single-Issuer Risk: With a bond fund like BND, you're spread across thousands of government and corporate bonds. With STRC, you're betting on one single company. It's the difference between a balanced diet and eating nothing but gas station sushi.
The Tax Magic Trick: Return of Capital (ROC)
Here's another reason people love STRC. Its fat dividend is classified as a Return of Capital (ROC). This is a neat little tax trick.
- The Good News: You don't pay taxes on the dividend when you receive it. It's considered a "return of your own money." This is great if you're trying to keep your income low for things like health insurance subsidies.
- The Ticking Time Bomb: But it's not a free lunch. The ROC lowers your "cost basis" in the stock. So, when you eventually sell, you'll have a much bigger capital gain to pay taxes on. It's like a hidden pipeline for a future tax bill.
The Final Verdict: Who's the Champ?
So, who wins the battle of the portfolios? It depends on what kind of "safety" you're looking for.
- Team Boglehead is all about Structural Safety. They want to avoid blowing up. They'd rather underperform than risk a total loss on a single, risky bet.
- Team Modern Mix is all about Macro Safety. They're worried about inflation and a shaky global economy. They're willing to take on concentrated risk to get higher returns and hedge against bigger problems.
Choosing between them is a personal call. Do you want to sleep well at night, or do you want to eat well? With the Modern Mix, you might do both... or you might end up with a bad case of financial indigestion.